Super Bowl Preview and Picks!

And then, there were 2. And we all know what that means: Super Bowl time!

Regrettably, that means no more moneyline parlays, a bummer since we’re 3-for-3 in the playoffs to this point, having hit our parlay every week. But, still a lot of fun stuff to look at on the last Sunday of the season.

I am currently writing this article in-flight from 35,000 feet, so we’re just gonna blast through some props I like, before getting to my game pick at the end. Here we go.

6 picks I like at traditional odds (-110, -120, and so forth):

-Rhamondre Stevenson Over 14.5 rush attempts

-Keyshon Boutte longest reception Over 19.5 yards

-Mack Hollins Over 24.5 receiving yards

-Andres Borregales Over 1.5 field goals (I also like Jason Myers Over 1.5 field goals, but I’m not interested in laying -210 to find out).

-Sam Darnold to throw an interception (available at -125)

-Seahawks Under 25.5 points (This scares me a little because I know they’re capable of scoring 30+. However, the Pats have allowed 26 points TOTAL in 3 playoff games). Let’s keep it going.

6 picks I like at plus money:

-Jaxon Smith Njigba to hit 8+ receptions at +125. This is a pretty standard number for JSN and I’d rather have him needing one extra catch versus laying -150 to hit 7+ catches.

-Mack Hollins to hit 3+ receptions at +130. Honestly, this may be worth a flyer on Hollins to get 4+ too (+300 odds if you’re feeling ambitious). But I’ll stick with 3+.

-Rhamondre Stevenson anytime touchdown at +140

-A.J. Barner anytime touchdown at +225

-DeMario Douglas anytime touchdown at +650 is a long shot too intriguing to pass up here.

-Over 2.5 players to throw a pass (+175). This hits if we get a trick play on either side or if either quarterback needs to leave the game, even for 15 minutes. Coaches often like to mix it up once or twice in the Super Bowl. I’m looking at you Vrabel.

Official game pick:

Admittedly, I’m generally less inclined to bet on things I’m rooting against. That’s never a particularly fun position to put yourself in. I wouldn’t, for example, discourage anyone from going after Kenneth Walker props, as he figures to play a huge role in the Seahawks attack. But I’m not interested.

I agree that Seattle deserves to be favored. They’ve played exceptionally well for a very long time in a much more competitive division. But I’m taking the Patriots to cover the reasonable line here. I think this game is likely decided by a field goal in either direction. I like getting New England +4.5 points (-104). They are playing with house money, and I could see them starting the game looser than Seattle.

Note: I’m expecting some points in Santa Clara, even with two outstanding defenses. So if you want to try a teaser, I’d lean towards Patriots +10.5 and the adjusted Over 39.5 total points.

Enjoy the game!

Zach